Wayne Allyn Root is making his final midterm forecast with the confidence of a Las Vegas oddsmaker and the restraint of a man who has never met a dramatic political prediction he disliked. Root admits he is human and not always right, then says his record is 99.999% accurate. He says he has made thousands of political predictions during the past 12 years, all on the record through writing, television, radio, and podcasts. Before politics, he says, he spent 42 years making his living as an oddsmaker and was dubbed “America’s Oddsmaker” and “The King of Vegas Sports Gambling.”
For this election, Root says he made only two actual bets. The first was a large wager on Ken Paxton winning the U.S. Senate seat in Texas. The second was a bet that Republicans would win the Senate. Root rejects Texas polls showing Paxton’s opponent ahead and argues that voters will not choose a candidate he portrays as hostile to Christianity and supportive of communism. His tone is not exactly the cautious language of a Sunday morning panel show, but caution has never been Root’s favorite political accessory.
Root’s House prediction is much less favorable for Republicans. He says, “There is no blue wave,” but expects Democrats to win the House narrowly because the party in power traditionally loses seats during midterm elections. He argues that Republicans have no margin for error, meaning even a small loss could hand Democrats control. Root also alleges that Democratic cheating could flip between five and ten seats, leading to days of ballot counting. In what he calls a fair election, he says Republicans would hold the House.
The Senate, in Root’s view, is a different story. He predicts Republicans will win control and puts particular emphasis on Paxton’s race in Texas. He also points to Michigan, where he claims Democrats are abandoning El Sayed by the thousands, including Jewish Democrats. Root characterizes El Sayed’s views as hostile to Jews and Israel and supportive of Sharia law. He predicts Rogers should hold on, unless, as Root warns, Detroit receives 500,000 fake ballots at 3 AM from a black van. That colorful scenario is part of Root’s broader allegation that mail-in ballots and illegal votes could change close races.
Root says the likely outcome is divided government. He argues that Americans do not want the country remade into France or the United Kingdom, and says there is little support for socialism, communism, Sharia law, open borders, or efforts to change the Constitution. He expects President Trump to spend the next two years vetoing Democratic priorities. His warning is summed up in the quote he has repeated before: “High gas prices are temporary, but communism, Sharia Law, and your son becoming a girl, are FOREVER.”
To explain why experts and pollsters are predicting a blue wave, Root turns to an old odometer joke. A mechanic offers to roll back a car’s mileage from 200,000 miles to 20,000. After paying for the trick, the owner decides not to sell because he now believes the car is practically new. Root says that is how he views Democrats and the mainstream media, repeating preferred numbers until they believe their own story. He also argues that the polls he considers fraudulent were badly wrong in 2016, 2020, and 2024. Root’s final forecast is therefore a Republican Senate, a narrow Democratic House, divided government, and no blue wave.
